Overview
How a cycle works
One decision cycle: read the regime, scan the DTE ladder, size the spread, run the risk check, submit or explain the pass.
Last updated August 31, 2026
Every cycle follows the same path, and every step is written to the decision
log whether or not a trade comes out of it.
- Read the regime. Pull the VIX from FRED (
VIXCLS) and place today on a one-year percentile. This is a regime read, not a signal — it scales position size and, at the extremes, blocks new premium entirely. - Scan the DTE ladder. Measure the volatility risk premium on each tenor in the ladder (7 / 14 / 21 / 30 / 45 days by default). Trade only the tenor whose premium clears its threshold.
- Check the gates. Term-structure backwardation blocks new short premium. A known macro event inside the candidate's expiry blocks it too.
- Build the spread. Pick strikes by delta, size the position against account equity and the aggregate-risk cap, and price the multi-leg order to fill.
- Risk check. One explicit pass/fail against every rule. A rejection is logged in full and shown in the dashboard.
- Submit — or don't. If nothing cleared, the cycle ends with a written reason. An agent that stays still is working correctly.